Final Week Standings Scenarios

With just two games left on the docket for each team, and the standings TIGHT (2 games separate first and last place, and there's a 4-way tie for 3rd), it feels like high school pre-calculus trying to figure out how the standings can shake out. But, we'd hate for you to expend your precious mental energy on something like that, so we're here to help. Here are the scenarios for each team going into the final set of games, whether they sweep, split, or are swept. 

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SHORT SHORTS (8–5)
Plays: 8 Balls (7–6)

• If Shorts sweep (10–5) → Clinch the #1 seed outright. Nobody can catch them.
  
  
• If Shorts & 8 Balls split (9–6) → STILL clinch #1 seed, because 8 Balls can’t reach 9-10 wins and no other team can either.
  
  
• If Shorts get swept (8–7) → Only path to losing #1.
  
  
  • Could finish #2 or #3, depending on if the Moonshots sweep their series. The Moonshots would be the only possible 8-7 that holds the tiebreaker over the Shorts.
    
    

✅ BOTTOM LINE: The Shorts control their own destiny - all they need to do to lock up the #1 seed is win one game against the 8 Balls.



8 BALLS (7–6)
Plays: Short Shorts (8–5)

• If they sweep Shorts (9–6) → Take over #1 seed (win H2H series 2–1).
  
  
• If they split (8–7) → Finish anywhere from #2–#3.
  
  
  • The 8 Balls finish as #2 with a split, unless the Stampede sweep their series, as the Stampede hold the tiebreaker over them.
    
    
    
• If they get swept (7–8) → Could drop as low as #4 depending on tiebreakers.

 

• The Yakkers, Hounds, and/or Moonshots would have to sweep their series’ to leapfrog the 8 Balls in the final accounting, since the 8 Balls hold those tiebreakers. 
• The Stampede would pass the 8 Balls if they split in this scenario.
  
  
  

✅ BOTTOM LINE: The 8 Balls are the only team who can steal #1 — but they must sweep. A split guarantees them a top 3 spot.



HOUNDS (6–7)
Plays: Moonshots (6–7)

• If they sweep Moonshots (8–7) → Jump to at least #3 (could be #2 if the 8 Balls are swept).
  
  
• If they split (7–8) → Probably land in the #4–#6 range.
  
  
  • A split would give them tiebreaker advantage over the Stampede and the Moonshots.
    
    
• If they get swept (6–9) → Likely #6 unless the Stampede also sweep the Yakkers. 

✅ BOTTOM LINE: The Hounds are unlikely to finish in the top 2 and get a bye, but can secure a more desirable seed with a strong final week.



MOONSHOTS (6–7)
Plays: Hounds (6–7)

• If they sweep Hounds (8–7) → Could rise as high as #2.

 

• If the 8 Balls are swept, and the Stampede don’t also sweep, they get the #2 seed.
• If the Moonshots sweep, the only way they end up with the #4 seed is in the event of a Stampede sweep, as well. 

 

• If they split (7–8) → Almost certainly locked in at #4–#6.

 

• In this scenario, they lose a tie breaker with the Hounds and Stampede (and 8 Balls if they’re swept), so there’s no chance to rise higher than #4.
  
  

• If they get swept (6–9) → The only way they avoid the #6 seed is if the Stampede sweep the Yakkers. 

✅ BOTTOM LINE: It’ll take a series sweep for the Moonshots to reach a comfortable position, otherwise their losing records against other nearby teams may push them down.



STAMPEDE (6–7)
Plays: Yakkers (6–7)

• If they sweep Yakkers (8–7) → Stampede jumps to #2 or #3 

 

• Unless the 8 Balls sweep the Shorts, the Pede vault them in this scenario due to the tiebreaker

 

• Hounds are the only team that beat them in a tiebreaker in this scenario

 

• If they split (7–8) → Hovering in the #4–#5 mix.

 

• In the event of a tie, they’d hold the tiebreaker over the 8 Balls and Moonshots.
  
  

• If they get swept (6–9) → Stuck with the #6 seed, unless the Hounds sweep the Moonshots.
  
  
  

✅ BOTTOM LINE: Their 0-1 record against the Yakkers coming into the final week hamstrings them a little, as a split equals a series loss. Anything other than a sweep will put the Pede in a tricky spot.



YAKKERS (6–7)
Plays: Stampede (6–7)

• If they sweep Stampede (8–7) → Yakkers could climb all the way to #2–#3 with key tiebreakers in hand.

 

• If the 8 Balls are swept, and the Moonshots don’t sweep, they nab the #2 seed.

 

• But, if the 8 Balls win a game, they climb no higher than #3, and if the Moonshots sweep their series too, they’d still be stuck with #4.
  
  

• If they split (7–8) → They’re fighting for #3–#5.

 

• They would win tiebreakers against the Hounds and Stampede, but lose against the rest of the field.
  
  

• If they get swept (6–9) → Would be praying for a Moonshots sweep to avoid the #6 spot
  
  
  

✅ BOTTOM LINE: The Yaks can still go from “long shot” to a bye — but only if they sweep, and with a little help from the Shorts and Hounds. 


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🔑 SCENARIO TAKEAWAYS

• #1 Seed Race:
  
  
  • Short Shorts clinch #1 with either a win OR an 8 Balls split.
    
    
  • 8 Balls can only steal #1 by sweeping Shorts.
    
    
• Series that Decide Playoff Fate:
  
  
  • Hounds vs Moonshots – The Hounds are in the driver’s seat after winning their first matchup, but Smithey almost certainly looms in one of their remaining games. 
  • Yakkers vs Stampede – The Yakkers hold this tiebreaker in the event of a split, but the Pede should have the Palmer brothers ready to go in an attempt to salvage their season. 

 

• Chaos Watch:
  
  
  • In the event of a multi-team tie, the teams’ combined record against the other tied teams comes into play.
  • With 4 teams tied going into the final week, the odds of this are looking pretty good - all it takes is the 8 Balls dropping one and at least one other series sweeping, or both the Hounds/Shots and Yakkers/Pede splitting or sweeping. 
  • The amount of clusterf*ckery that would produce is not worth running the calculations on at this time - so if that scenario plays out, we’ll all find out the implications together.